Theistic agnostic Jew here. I'd put myself on about a 2-4 on the scale. I do believe in evolution, but I don't believe that it happened by chance. I'd be willing to say that rather than having a god as described in modern religions, I'd much rather have a god that's more of a force; a bit like a Buddhist description of what god is.
You bring up an interesting point about evolution. I, also, don't believe that evolution just happened by chance (while I obviously do believe in evolution). Having a love for biology and having studied it extensively, I'm well aware of the nature of cells and their DNA. We are quite certain that life started in the ocean as single cellular organisms. And NASA has given us reason to believe those cells arrived from space (NASA has found chemicals that make up DNA such as adenine, guanine, and cytosine on meteorites from space). But let's look at that period of time in which the ocean is filled with single cells.
We're aware of the nature of cells, and the nature of cells is quite simple. They don't have a mind to think, they simply move until they hit an obstacle, turn and move a different direction until they hit another obstacle. They also divide and reproduce. Putting aside reproduction, let's talk about the act of combining into multicellular organisms.
As I said, cells don't actually have a mind and can't willfully control their movement. They only have sensors (cilia) to detect if they've hit an object and then they can move a different direction. If this is true, and if cells happened to combine simply by running into each other and ending up "merged" (for, how else could it happen?) then given the nature of cells, the resulting multicellular organisms would be random clumps of cells without much structure. That would be how it has to happen, given that their movements are random and so their collisions would also be random.
When we look at what happened, though, we can't help but see that there is actual "reasoning" involved. For example, a "brain" has a purpose. It allows for the organism to have better control over its body. Legs allow the organism to move. A fin allows the organism to swim faster. All of these things have purposes. Cells could not have said to each other "let's form into an organism that can swim faster!" because they can't think. This shows that there must be some force involved with putting cells together to form life and it can't possibly be from random chance.
That said, I still don't believe that the force is the god(s) we worship in our society. There are a number of problems with this god (I'll speak about the Christian god since I am most familiar):
1) The Bible.
The bible is known as the "mind of god", the "truth of everything", it's the book that creates the religion of Christianity and it is what Christianity is founded on. There's just one problem with it... it was written a very long time ago by people who didn't understand the world too well. Oops. So what ended up happening is science has science proved many parts of the bible as false. And if even one part of the bible can be proven as false, the religion is broken. After all, the mind of god would NEVER be wrong, would it? The bible says evolution isn't real. But science proves that it is. We can actually watch it happen with our very eyes today.
2) Human-like god.
We humans have created the idea of god and, not being able to see it any other way, we've created this god to be very much like us. He can think, he has blood, he has many human-like futures. Well, if this is true, then wouldn't he also be mortal like a human? Our mortality is based on our physical body parts, not on a soul, after all. And having a soul could not make us immortal, because our death results from our body parts not functioning. And the soul would play no role in making body parts function (if it can't even physically influence them).
3) Heaven and Hell... impossible.
Psychology teaches us a lot about the brain. It teaches us, for example, that our experiences and thoughts are created by the firing of neurons. We have identified the exact areas in the brain where firing creates a specific type of experience. And if we modify the neurons and their firing, we notice that the person has different experiences. This conflicts with the idea of a soul. If neurons firing create our thinking, then a soul cannot create our thinking. Even if the soul is what 'makes' the neurons fire (which we know it isn't, we know that it is neurotransmitter chemicals that make neurons fire), we still have an issue with heaven and hell. One of the foundations of christianity is the idea of our souls being judged by god and then we go to heaven (eternal paradise) or hell (eternal torture). Well, let's assume we do have a soul and that it does go to heaven or hell. That's fantastic, except that we're not going to be able to experience being in heaven or hell. Our experiences were caused by the neurons firing in our brains, and they're still down on Earth not functioning anymore.
4) Creating an Explanation for Everything
Many people believe in god as a way to explain how everything came to be. And this may seem trivial, but honestly, ask yourself: how did god come to be? And if you answer with: "he just started out there", then couldn't I just as easily ask: "then why couldn't the world without god just start out there?" I think a better approach would be to keep trying to figure out how everything started by using scientific data, rather than creating ideas for it via philosophy. After all, there is much we don't know yet. With our incredible lack of knowledge, how could we possibly create valid ideas for those topics that are out of our scope of knowledge?
Those are just a few points to make, there are many more that can be made but I'll avoid writing too long of a post for the moment.